Baseball RPI and SOS
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
So it is dropping some this weekend. The season has over 30 games left to play. There will be so much jockeying going on over the next two months. Let’s talk about this in late April if we continue winning.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
3rd or better in our conference has to be a target.
-
- President's Circle
- Posts: 4382
- Joined: Sun Mar 09, 2014 4:26 pm
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Agreed, 3rd place I’d be confident that we make a regional. 4th will be cutting it close and our non-conference résumé is not going to do us any favorsRay wrote:3rd or better in our conference has to be a target.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Warren Nolan projects 40-16 just to get to 52 in RPI. We literally have no margin for error.
- gerryb323
- Regent's Circle
- Posts: 9660
- Joined: Thu Jul 01, 2010 11:18 am
- Location: There's no place like home
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
9 losses is margin for error! Roller's got us at 49-7!FW wrote:Warren Nolan projects 40-16 just to get to 52 in RPI. We literally have no margin for error.
Wandering around somewhere in a matchup zone
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
well then just win the regular season and tourney AAC.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
We are fun to watch. We can rake. Pitching has potential. If it comes together we can pass 40 wins. It's on the table for us.
-
- Emerald Circle
- Posts: 13748
- Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2008 1:57 pm
- Location: Chicago
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Rpi is 91 after sweep
- Roller
- Cornerstone
- Posts: 36994
- Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2004 7:30 pm
- Location: 9½° due east of The Tulane University of Louisiana
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Damn straight!gerryb323 wrote:...
Roller's got us at 49-7!
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
It’s settled at 89 with an SOS of 110. RPI fell 9 with the sweep and SOS fell 44.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Record: 17-8
RPI: 108
SOS: 135
RPI: 108
SOS: 135
- tulaneoutlaw
- Regent's Circle
- Posts: 8867
- Joined: Wed Dec 01, 2010 10:49 pm
- Location: Greeneville, TN
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
I think we should plan on winning the conference tournament if we want a bid this year. Top 2 or 3 might get us there, but "might" is a dirty word come tournament selection time.
- gerryb323
- Regent's Circle
- Posts: 9660
- Joined: Thu Jul 01, 2010 11:18 am
- Location: There's no place like home
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
We haven't even started conference play yet. Let's see some games there before we start fretting
Wandering around somewhere in a matchup zone
-
- Navigator Level
- Posts: 701
- Joined: Tue May 24, 2016 12:59 pm
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Yeah, I did this calculation last night.FW wrote:Warren Nolan projects 40-16 just to get to 52 in RPI. We literally have no margin for error.
Gonna have to win the conference regular season or conference tournament, most likely.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Record: 19-9, 2-1
RPI: 105
SOS: 158
RPI: 105
SOS: 158
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Then do it. We just had an MBB coach who publicly started focusing on AAC tourney in Early January. That turned out real well. We have 90% of our conference schedule left. Save the dice rolling for May if the team underachieves over the next month and a half.TulaneTiger wrote:Yeah, I did this calculation last night.FW wrote:Warren Nolan projects 40-16 just to get to 52 in RPI. We literally have no margin for error.
Gonna have to win the conference regular season or conference tournament, most likely.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
After SLU
Record: 22-11
RPI: 89
SOS: 136
Upcoming schedule
USF: 114
UNO: 169
Memphis: 115
SLU: 104
ECU: 11
UNO: 169
UCF: 34
NSU: 153
UH: 51
USA: 93
UConn: 28
FWIW, Warren Nolan predicts we finish 38-18 with an RPI of 64 and an SOS of 102.
We control our own destiny to an extent. We have the tougher part of our schedule ahead of us, but we ABSOLUTELY have no margin for error. We absolutely cannot lose anymore games to UNO or Nicholls type opponents, and we're going to have to sweep the Memphis types and win 2 of 3 from the ECU and UCF's.
Record: 22-11
RPI: 89
SOS: 136
Upcoming schedule
USF: 114
UNO: 169
Memphis: 115
SLU: 104
ECU: 11
UNO: 169
UCF: 34
NSU: 153
UH: 51
USA: 93
UConn: 28
FWIW, Warren Nolan predicts we finish 38-18 with an RPI of 64 and an SOS of 102.
We control our own destiny to an extent. We have the tougher part of our schedule ahead of us, but we ABSOLUTELY have no margin for error. We absolutely cannot lose anymore games to UNO or Nicholls type opponents, and we're going to have to sweep the Memphis types and win 2 of 3 from the ECU and UCF's.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
As of right now, we're nowhere near the postseason radar.
From the AAC:
ECU 1(hosting)
UConn 2
UCF and Houston are in the "First Five Out"
Only teams from our OOC schedule are UCSB as a 2 and Ole Miss as a 2.
https://d1baseball.com/projections/coll ... 4-april-2/
From the AAC:
ECU 1(hosting)
UConn 2
UCF and Houston are in the "First Five Out"
Only teams from our OOC schedule are UCSB as a 2 and Ole Miss as a 2.
https://d1baseball.com/projections/coll ... 4-april-2/
-
- Trainer
- Posts: 39
- Joined: Wed Jan 17, 2018 4:40 pm
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
We will have to finish 1st or 2nd in conference to get a regional bid - not sure we would get in with a 3rd place finish or worst.
Does anyone else get the feeling that a regional bid is not the focus? Just seems to me that they way we are managing mid-week games and the innings being logged by our front-line guys that all we are trying to accomplish is to have a winning record. How else do you reconcile using your closer in the 9th with a 6-run lead on a Tuesday (and letting him throw 50+ pitches) or last week using your then closer to get 7 outs (again 50+ pitches)? My eyes tell me that we are just counting wins to have a winning record at the end of the year.
Does anyone else get the feeling that a regional bid is not the focus? Just seems to me that they way we are managing mid-week games and the innings being logged by our front-line guys that all we are trying to accomplish is to have a winning record. How else do you reconcile using your closer in the 9th with a 6-run lead on a Tuesday (and letting him throw 50+ pitches) or last week using your then closer to get 7 outs (again 50+ pitches)? My eyes tell me that we are just counting wins to have a winning record at the end of the year.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Not sure how you differentiate since the very small shot we currently have is predicated on not losing any more of these midweek games.Wavefam985 wrote:We will have to finish 1st or 2nd in conference to get a regional bid - not sure we would get in with a 3rd place finish or worst.
Does anyone else get the feeling that a regional bid is not the focus? Just seems to me that they way we are managing mid-week games and the innings being logged by our front-line guys that all we are trying to accomplish is to have a winning record. How else do you reconcile using your closer in the 9th with a 6-run lead on a Tuesday (and letting him throw 50+ pitches) or last week using your then closer to get 7 outs (again 50+ pitches)? My eyes tell me that we are just counting wins to have a winning record at the end of the year.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
LSU told him mid week games don't matter, but for us they doml wave wrote:Not sure how you differentiate since the very small shot we currently have is predicated on not losing any more of these midweek games.Wavefam985 wrote:We will have to finish 1st or 2nd in conference to get a regional bid - not sure we would get in with a 3rd place finish or worst.
Does anyone else get the feeling that a regional bid is not the focus? Just seems to me that they way we are managing mid-week games and the innings being logged by our front-line guys that all we are trying to accomplish is to have a winning record. How else do you reconcile using your closer in the 9th with a 6-run lead on a Tuesday (and letting him throw 50+ pitches) or last week using your then closer to get 7 outs (again 50+ pitches)? My eyes tell me that we are just counting wins to have a winning record at the end of the year.
Quote:The Good - TULANE
The Bad - LSU
THe Ugly - USM
Honorable mention - Navy
The Bad - LSU
THe Ugly - USM
Honorable mention - Navy
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Wavefam985 wrote:We will have to finish 1st or 2nd in conference to get a regional bid - not sure we would get in with a 3rd place finish or worst.
Does anyone else get the feeling that a regional bid is not the focus? Just seems to me that they way we are managing mid-week games and the innings being logged by our front-line guys that all we are trying to accomplish is to have a winning record. How else do you reconcile using your closer in the 9th with a 6-run lead on a Tuesday (and letting him throw 50+ pitches) or last week using your then closer to get 7 outs (again 50+ pitches)? My eyes tell me that we are just counting wins to have a winning record at the end of the year.
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
How about a trip to Occam's Razor land? You give someone the opportunity to learn and master their craft in theoretically less stressful situations (or less risky situations if he screws it up.) You want one of these guys to have a hold a late lead against ECU in the conference tournament while never having had to do it in the regular season?Wavefam985 wrote:We will have to finish 1st or 2nd in conference to get a regional bid - not sure we would get in with a 3rd place finish or worst.
Does anyone else get the feeling that a regional bid is not the focus? Just seems to me that they way we are managing mid-week games and the innings being logged by our front-line guys that all we are trying to accomplish is to have a winning record. How else do you reconcile using your closer in the 9th with a 6-run lead on a Tuesday (and letting him throw 50+ pitches) or last week using your then closer to get 7 outs (again 50+ pitches)? My eyes tell me that we are just counting wins to have a winning record at the end of the year.
-
- President's Circle
- Posts: 4382
- Joined: Sun Mar 09, 2014 4:26 pm
Re: Baseball RPI and SOS
Cellucci has gotten those reps and reps in tougher situations than the one on Tuesday.Baywave1 wrote:How about a trip to Occam's Razor land? You give someone the opportunity to learn and master their craft in theoretically less stressful situations (or less risky situations if he screws it up.) You want one of these guys to have a hold a late lead against ECU in the conference tournament while never having had to do it in the regular season?Wavefam985 wrote:We will have to finish 1st or 2nd in conference to get a regional bid - not sure we would get in with a 3rd place finish or worst.
Does anyone else get the feeling that a regional bid is not the focus? Just seems to me that they way we are managing mid-week games and the innings being logged by our front-line guys that all we are trying to accomplish is to have a winning record. How else do you reconcile using your closer in the 9th with a 6-run lead on a Tuesday (and letting him throw 50+ pitches) or last week using your then closer to get 7 outs (again 50+ pitches)? My eyes tell me that we are just counting wins to have a winning record at the end of the year.
I agree with 985 that having Cellucci throw 50+ pitches was unwise but I don’t really understand his larger point about a regional bid not being the focus but rather just trying to get a winning record.
I think that was in mind when making the schedule but not in the day-to-day with bullpen management.